Cars and other vehicles are covered
for earthquake damage by comprehensive insurance which
also provides protection against flood and hurricane damage
as well as theft.
Deductibles and Costs: Earthquake insurance
carries a deductible, generally in the form of a percentage
rather than a dollar amount. Deductibles can range anywhere
from 2 percent to 20 percent of the replacement value of
the structure. This means that if it cost $100,000 to rebuild
a home and there was 2 percent deductible, the consumer
would be responsible for the first $2,000 dollars.
Insurers
in states like Washington, Nevada and Utah, with higher
than average risk of earthquakes, often set minimum deductibles
at around 10 percent. In most cases, consumers can get
higher deductibles to save money on earthquake premiums.
The standard CEA policy includes a deductible that is 15
percent of the home’s replacement cost. The basic
policy covers only the house (other structures such as
garages, pools, etc. are not covered). Personal possessions
are covered up to $5,000 and “loss of use” expenses,
the additional cost of living elsewhere while home repairs
are made, are covered up to $1,500.
Recognizing that some
people want more comprehensive coverage, the CEA now offers
a 10 percent deductible, insurance for other structures,
personal items coverage up to $25,000 and $10,000 in “loss
of use” coverage. Premiums vary widely among the
19 rating territories, based on the type of house, its
age, the nature of the soil, and proximity to known fault
lines.
The average cost statewide is $500, but it can exceed
$3,000 a year. The CEA currently has reserves of more than
$7 billion. Because of high deductibles, this amount is
considered enough to cover two earthquakes as severe as
the 1994 Northridge quake, which caused an estimated $12.5
billion in insured losses.
Premiums also differ widely by location, insurer and the
type of structure that is covered. Generally, older buildings
cost more to insure than new ones. Wood frame structures
generally benefit from lower rates than brick buildings
because they tend to withstand quake stresses better. Regions
are graded on a scale of 1 to 5 for likelihood of quakes,
and this may be reflected in insurance rates offered in
those areas.
The cost of earthquake insurance is calculated
on “per $1,000 basis.” For instance, a frame
house in the Pacific Northwest might cost between one to
three dollars per $1,000 worth of coverage, while it may
cost less than fifty cents per $1,000 on the East coast.
A brick home would cost approximately $3 to $15 dollars
per $1,000 in the Pacific Northwest, while it would cost
between 60 to 90 cents in New York. Earthquake insurance
is available from most insurance companies in most states.California law requires homeowners insurance companies
to offer earthquake coverage to their homeowners insurance
policyholders. Homeowners can decide to purchase it, purchase
a policy from another insurer, or decline it altogether.
In January, 1994 the Northridge earthquake, a magnitude
6.8 quake (see section on Earthquake Measurement), struck
Southern California, causing an estimated $12.5 billion
in insured losses, according to the Insurance Services
Office, Inc. (ISO). The insurance industry ended up paying
out more in claims for this quake than it had collected
in earthquake premiums over the preceding 30 years. While
no insurer became insolvent, some came very close.
To recover
their financial strength and to be better prepared for
the next earthquake, most insurers began to limit their
exposure to earthquakes by writing fewer new homeowners
insurance policies. In addition, most insurers filed for
both rate increases and increases in deductibles from the
10 percent that was current then to 15 percent or higher.
This triggered a crisis that by mid-1996 threatened the
vitality of the state’s housing market and stalled
the state’s recovery from recession.
California Earthquake Authority (CEA): In
1996, the California Legislature established the CEA to
make basic earthquake insurance both available to consumers
and financially viable for insurers. The CEA is a privately
funded, publicly managed organization. Insurers can participate
in the CEA and offer CEA policies to their policyholders.
Those who choose not to participate must offer their own
earthquake coverage to their homeowners policyholders.
The standard earthquake policy from the CEA is regarded
as the industry’s standard.
What Are Earthquakes and Where Do They Occur?: An
earthquake is a sudden, rapid shaking of the earth caused
by the breaking and shifting of rock beneath the earth's
surface. For hundreds of millions of years, the forces
of plate tectonics have shaped the earth as the huge plates
that form the Earth's surface move slowly over, under,
and past each other. Sometimes the movement is gradual. At other times, the
plates are locked together, unable to move. When the pressure
building up grows strong enough, the plates break free
causing the ground to shake and rupture along fault lines,
or zones of weakness.
One of the most famous faults is the San Andreas Fault,
which extends about 600 miles from the Gulf of California
northwest along the California coast. The 1906 San Francisco
earthquake was caused by movement of the San Andreas Fault.
Quakes can produce different kinds of shaking. Some, like
the 6.8 magnitude (see section on Earthquake Measurement)
Northridge quake, are thrust fault quakes, which cause
violent up-and-down, rather than the more common side-to-side
movement. Ground shaking from earthquakes can collapse
buildings and bridges as well as trigger landslides, avalanches,
floods, fires, and tsunamis.
Buildings with foundations
resting on unconsolidated landfill and other unstable soil,
and trailers and homes not tied to their foundations are
at risk because they can be shaken off their mountings
during an earthquake.
According to the U.S. Geological Survey, there are more
than three million earthquakes worldwide each year. While
the vast majority of those are a magnitude 3.9 or lower,
more than 900 earthquakes measure 5.0 or higher each year.
About 81 percent of the world’s largest earthquakes
occur in the Circum-Pacific seismic belt.
The area extends
from Chile, northward along the western South American
coast through Central America, Mexico, the west coast of
the United States and the southern part of Alaska, through
the Aleutian Islands to Japan, the Philippine Islands,
New Guinea, the island groups of the Southwest Pacific
and to New Zealand.
The most powerful earthquake on record occurred in Chile
on May 22, 1960. The magnitude 9.5 quake caused $550 million
in damage, killed more than 2,000 people and injured more
than 3,000. It also caused a tsunami, which caused additional
destruction in Hawaii, Japan, the Philippines and the west
coast of the United States.
Earthquake Risk in the United States: The
first national study of earthquake risk in the United States
was released by the Federal Emergency Management Agency
(FEMA) in September 2000. The study estimated that over
time earthquake losses in the United States could average
$4.4 billion dollars a year.
This estimate includes only
capital losses, such as repairing or replacing buildings,
contents and inventory ($3.49 billion), and loss of income,
including business interruption, rental income and wage
losses ($0.93 billion). It does not cover damage and losses
to critical facilities, transportation and utility lines
or indirect economic losses.
The $4.4 billion estimate of probable annual earthquakes
losses is close to the losses from floods and hurricanes.
Flood losses averaged $5.2 billion annually during the
period 1989 to 1998, according to the National Weather
Service. The National Climatic Data Center estimates $5.4
billion in annual hurricane losses for the same period.
The report also points out that the potential cost of earthquakes
has been growing because of increasing urban development
in seismically active areas and the vulnerability of older
buildings, which may not have been built or upgraded to
current building codes. According to the study, 84 percent
of the nation's annual losses are expected to occur in
California, Oregon and Washington, with California accounting
for the lion’s share.
Other areas at risk include
the central United States, within the New Madrid Seismic
zone, which includes parts of Illinois, Kentucky, Tennessee,
Missouri, and Arkansas, and the Charleston, South Carolina
area. In addition to California metropolitan areas, cities
ranked among the top 40 high-loss potential urban areas
include Seattle, Portland, New York City, Salt Lake City
and St. Louis.
The study pointed out the need for increased recognition
of metropolitan areas with “low seismic hazard” but “high
seismic risk,” such as New York City and Boston,
which have high concentrations of buildings and an infrastructure
that was built without taking into account seismic codes.
Although the likelihood of catastrophic quakes occurring
in these areas is statistically low, the potential cost
is very high.
In addition, because of the perception of
low risk, neither the public nor the private sector has
developed earthquake preparedness programs that teach people
how to protect against earthquake damage and injury.
In the continental United States, earthquakes occur most
frequently west of the Rocky Mountains. While the United
States experiences only two percent of the world’s
earthquakes, some 90 percent of its population lives in
seismically active areas. Statistics show that since 1900,
earthquakes have occurred in 39 states and caused damage
in all 50 states. More than 3,300 Americans have died in
earthquakes during the last century.
Historically, the most violent earthquakes have occurred
in the central United States. The largest earthquake in
the continental United States was along the New Madrid
Fault in Missouri, where a 3-month long series of quakes
in 1811-1812 included three quakes larger than a magnitude
of 8. The state with the most major earthquakes is Alaska,
but the one with the most damaging earthquakes is California.
The largest earthquake in the United States was a magnitude
9.2 quake that struck Alaska on March 28, 1964. The earthquake
and ensuing tsunami caused more than $500 million in property
losses, according to the National Geophysical Data Center. The most costly earthquake in the United States was the
Northridge, California, earthquake of January 17, 1994,
with insured losses estimated at $12.5 billion, according
to ISO.
Earthquake Risk in the Western United States: Although
the entire Northwest of the United States is at high risk
of earthquakes, nine of the most costly earthquakes in
the last century occurred in California. According to the
U.S. Geological Survey, there is a 70 percent probability
that an earthquake of magnitude 6.7 or larger will strike
the San Francisco Bay area over the next 30 years.
The
San Francisco earthquake in 1906 measured 8.3 on the Richter
scale and caused direct quake losses of about $24 million,
as well as fire losses of about $500 million, according
to the National Geophysical Data Center. Beside the 1994
Northridge quake, large, recent quakes in California include
the 7.6 magnitude Landers quake in 1992 that caused $92
million dollars of insured losses, the 6.9 magnitude Eureka
quake in 1992 that resulted in $66 million dollars of insured
losses, and the 7.0 Loma Prieta quake in 1989 that resulted
in more than $7 billion in insured losses, 62 deaths and
3,757 injuries.
Earthquake Risk in the Central United States: The
New Madrid Fault zone lies within the central Mississippi
valley extending from northeastern Arkansas through southeastern
Missouri, western Tennessee, Kentucky and southern Illinois.
The last major earthquake, magnitude 8, occurred there
in 1812.
But scientists warn that this was not a freak
occurrence. Earthquakes in Central and Eastern United States
affect much larger areas than earthquakes of similar magnitude
in the West. For example, the San Francisco earthquake
of 1906 was felt 350 miles away, whereas the New Madrid
earthquake of December 1811 rang church bells in Boston,
Massachusetts, 1,000 miles away.
Earthquake Risk in the Eastern United States: The
largest earthquake in the East was a 7.5 temblor that struck
Charleston, South Carolina, in 1886, killing over 60 people.
While the risk of an earthquake in the Northeast is not
nearly as high as in the West, the region is seismically
active.
A 6.0 earthquake struck Boston in 1755 and a 5.8
earthquake struck the northern part of New York State in
1944. Near New York City, there have been two 5.0 to 5.3
earthquakes, one in 1737 and the other in 1884. Experts
say an earthquake of between 6.5 and 7.5 in possible in
the Northeast, but estimate that it may occur “in
the order of thousands of years.”
Applied Insurance Research, a catastrophe modeling firm,
points out that large numbers of buildings in both Boston
and New York City were built long before the introduction
of seismic building codes. Many of the older structures
in the two cities are made of unreinforced masonry, the
most vulnerable to earthquake damage. Worse, much of Boston
is built on artificial fill, which can amplify seismic
waves by as much as a factor of three. New York is less
vulnerable, being largely built on bedrock.
Earthquake Measurement: The size and magnitude
of an earthquake is measured in several different ways.
The Richter Scale measures the size of earthquake
waves. It was developed by Charles Richter in the 1930s
and is a logarithmic measurement of the amount of energy
released by an earthquake, see below.
The Mercalli
Intensity Scale evaluates the intensity of a quake
according to observed severity at specific locations. It
rates the intensity on a Roman numeral scale that ranges
from I to XII. Today, seismologists are using the Moment
Magnitude Scale, which measures the size of the earthquake’s
fault, and how much of the earth slips at the time of the
quake.
A number of readings are taken, averaged and then
adjusted to generate numbers similar to the Richter
Scale. This allows the magnitude of earthquakes measured
on these new scales to be compared with earthquakes recorded
earlier. According to the Moment Magnitude Scale, the severity
of an earthquake is categorized as the following:
5.0 Small
5.0 – 6.0 Moderate
6.0 – 7.0 Large
7.0 - 7.8 Major
7.8 Great
An increase of one unit of magnitude, for example, from
a 4.0 to a 5.0 quake, is a 10-fold increase in wave amplitude
on a seismogram, or about a 30-fold increase in energy
released. Thus, the difference between a 4.0 and a 6.0
magnitude quake would be a release of energy 900 times
(30 times 30) as great as a 4.0 magnitude quake since the
magnitude is a logarithmic value.
Legislation: In 1977 the United States
Congress enacted the Earthquake Hazards Reduction Act,
in recognition of the fact that earthquakes pose the greatest
potential threat of any single-event natural hazard confronting
the nation. The Act directed the President to "establish
and maintain an effective earthquake hazards reduction
program."
Congress then created the National Earthquake Hazards Reduction
Program, which gave lead responsibility to the federal
government to provide direction, coordination, research
and other support to efforts aimed at earthquake hazard
mitigation and preparedness.
The Federal Emergency Management
Agency (FEMA), the United States Geological Survey, the
National Science Foundation, and the National Institute
of Standards and Technology were assigned specific roles.
Recommendations were included on the duties of state governments,
local governments, private organizations and individuals.
Earthquake Safety/Loss Mitigation: Although
earthquakes cannot be prevented, science and engineering
provide tools that can be used to reduce their damage.
Science can now identify, with considerable accuracy, where
earthquakes are likely to occur and what forces they will
generate.
Engineering can help provide design and construction
techniques so that buildings and other structures can survive
the tremendous forces of earthquakes. To produce estimates of earthquake loss by geographic area,
FEMA uses an earthquake loss estimation methodology called
Hazards U.S. (HAZUS), developed in cooperation with the
National Institute of Building Sciences.
The loss estimation
methodology is a software program that uses mathematical
formulas and information about building stock, local geology
and the location and size of potential earthquakes, economic
data, and other information to estimate losses from a potential
earthquake. HAZUS is capable of using two separate geographic
information systems (MapInfo® and ArcView®) to
map and display ground shaking, the pattern of building
damage, and demographic information about a community.
Once the location and size of a hypothetical earthquake
is identified, HAZUS will estimate the violence of ground
shaking, the number of buildings damaged, the number of
casualties, the amount of damage to transportation systems,
disruption to the electrical and water utilities, the number
of people displaced from their homes, and the estimated
cost of repairing projected damage and other effects.
In 1983, with funding support and in partnership with the
FEMA, the states of Arkansas, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky,
Mississippi, Missouri, and Tennessee formed the Central
United States Earthquake Consortium to improve public earthquake
awareness and education. The consortium also coordinates
multistate planning for earthquake preparedness, response,
and recovery and encourages research in earthquake hazard
reduction.
The CEA has developed a loss prevention program that could
ultimately make thousands of California homes more resistant
to earthquake damage with a commitment by its Board to
spend 5 percent of its investment income or up to $5 million
when feasible to loss mitigation programs. In 1999, the
CEA sponsored a retrofit program in nine Bay area counties
and received 15,000 calls as a result. Safety education
and loss mitigation efforts continue. |